| 上海市外贸发展与经济增长关系实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 靖学青.上海市外贸发展与经济增长关系实证研究[J].城市问题,2011(7):54-58. |
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| 作者姓名： | 靖学青 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海社会科学院部门经济研究所研究室; |
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| 摘 要： | 通过统计计量分析发现,上海对外贸易规模较大且增速较快,对外贸易与经济增长关系密切,二者存在长期稳定的均衡关系,外贸总额或者进口额每增长1%,则GDP将增长0.5%以上。但是,外贸总额、出口额、进口额增长并不是上海经济增长的格兰杰原因,恰好相反,经济增长是短期外贸总额、出口增长的格兰杰原因。
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| 关 键 词： | 上海 外贸发展 经济增长 协整检验 格兰杰因果检验 |
Empirical study on the relation between foreign trade development and economic growth in Shanghai City |
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| JING Xue-qing.Empirical study on the relation between foreign trade development and economic growth in Shanghai City[J].Urban Problems,2011(7):54-58. |
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| Authors: | JING Xue-qing |
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| Institution: | JING Xue-qing |
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| Abstract: | Through statistic and econometric analysis,it is found that the size of foreign trade is very huge and the development is very rapid in Shanghai.The relationship between foreign trade and economic growth is consanguineous,and is long-term stable equilibrium.Yet they are unilateralism Granger causality only,namely the foreign trade and export are not Granger cause of economic Growth in Shanghai,on even reverse the latter is Granger cause of the former.Finally,based on the results of quantitative analysis,thi... |
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| Keywords: | Shanghai foreign trade development economic growth co-integration test Granger causality test |
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