FDI、进出口贸易对中国经济增长影响的区域差异研究

本文采用中国东、中、西部的1993年至2007年的年度样本数据，运用协整理论和VAR模型等现代计量方法，定量分析了FDI、进出口贸易对东、中、西三大区域经济增长影响的动态关系。研究发现，东、中、西部地区的FDI、进出口贸易与经济增长之间都存在长期均衡关系；东部和中部地区的进口贸易均是经济增长的Granger原因，FDI和出口贸易仅在东部构成了经济增长的Granger原因；脉冲函数和方差分解也表明，在不同的区域条件约束下，FDI、进出口贸易对经济增长的冲击并无稳定一致的关系。

Research on District Differences among FDI, International Trade and Chinese Economic Growth

This paper analyzes quantitatively the dynamic influences of FDI and international trade on eastern, central and western area economic growth using co - integration theory,VAR model and other modern measuring methods based on the annual sample data during 1993 -2007 period. Empirical results indicate that there is a long -run equilibrium relationship among FDI, international trade and regional economic growth in the eastern, central and western areas; in the eastern and central regions, the import trade is Granger cause of economic growth; only in the eastern area, FDI and export trade are Granger causes of economic growth; impulse response function and variance decomposition also shows that FDI and international trade have no consistent relationship on economic growth under different district conditions.