| 我国对外贸易与国际物流关系的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨长春.我国对外贸易与国际物流关系的实证研究[J].对外经济贸易大学学报,2008(1):8-11. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨长春 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]对外经济贸易大学,北京100029 |
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| 基金项目： | 本文为作者负责的对外经济贸易大学“十五”‘‘211工程’’课题：‘‘北京市国际贸易与国际物流协同发展的策略研究’’的研究成果之一. |
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| 摘 要： | 为了更好地理解国际贸易与国际物流的关系，制定出合适的协同发展战略，本文选取国际贸易与国际物流之间的关系作为研究对象进行了实证分析。首先，结合指标的合理性和数据的可得性选取了分析变量；在此基础上利用时间序列数据，运用Granger因果检验的方法对国际贸易和国际物流之间的关系进行了研究，并得出结论：我国的国际贸易与物流存在着反馈性的因果关系；其中，物流对贸易的促进作用比贸易对物流的促进作用要稍大一些。
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| 关 键 词： | 国际贸易 国际物流 Granger因果检验 |
Relationships between International Trade and International Logistics in China |
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| Authors: | YANG Chang-chun |
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| Institution: | YANG Chang-chun |
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| Abstract: | In order to better understand the relationship between international trade and international logistics and work out proper development strategies, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between international trade and international logistics. Firstly, the analysis vari- ables are chosen referred to the rationality of the indicators and the availability of the data. Further more, the conclusion is based on research of relationship between international trade and international logistics with Granger causes and effects examinatiqn using the time series data. In China, international trade and logistics interact as both cause and effect, while trade has more positive reaction than logistics does. |
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| Keywords: | International trade International logistics Granger causality test |
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