南北贸易模式与中国贸易条件决定模型实证研究

贸易条件是衡量一国贸易利益得失的重要指标。本文在南北贸易模式中讨论了南方国家贸易条件。研究发现,南方国家贸易条件是否随着劳动生产率提高而恶化,依赖于南方国家是否具有垄断定价能力。我国贸易条件实证分析表明,1997年之前贸易条件主要受到我国人均国民收入提高的影响而不断改善,1997年后随着劳动生产率提高,我国贸易条件不断恶化。

North-South Trade and the Determining of China Terms of Trade: an Empirical Study

Terms of trade is an important index for measuring one country’s gain and loss in trade. This paper discusses South Countries’ terms of trade in North-South trade. The paper finds thatwhether terms of trade of South Countries deteriorate with the labor productivity increasing depends on whether firms of South Countries carry out monopolistic price in North Countries. Empirical analysis on Chinese terms of trade shows that before 1997 China terms of trade improved with GDP per capita, and after 1997 it worsened with labor productivity increasing.