出口多样化与经济增长:理论及对中国的经验研究

本文在新古典主义生产函数的框架下,建立出口多样化促进经济增长的理论模型,分析了出口多样化产生的出口中学效应和干中学效应,利用中国的数据对该假说作进一步的计量检验。结果表明,中国出口的多样化程度先迅速提高后缓慢下降,加工贸易的发展促进我国出口垂直多样化程度的提高,而动态最小二乘法回归结果验证了我国出口多样化对经济增长的推动作用非常明显,并且垂直多样化的贡献度要更高于水平多样化。

Export Diversification and Economic Growth in China

This paper develops a model of export diversification and economic growth under the framework of neo-classical production function.It analyzes the learning-by-exporting and learning-by-doing effect of export diversification and tests the hypothesis by the data of China.The results indicate that the extent of export diversification is firstly rapidly enlarged and then slowly reduced.The results by the dynamic ordinary least square regression method also prove that the export diversification has a positive in...