外商直接投资影响国际旅游收入的研究

外商直接投资通过直接拉动效应和溢出效应两种方式促进东道国旅游服务贸易的出口.本文利用中国1982-2009年的时间序列数据进行协整分析表明,国际旅游收入与外商直接投资存在长期均衡关系,FDI是国际旅游收入短期波动的原因,验证了FDI对国际旅游收入的直接带动作用；当期的FDI产生一个单位的正向冲击,会促进后期国际旅游收入长期稳定的增长,验证了FDI对国际旅游收入的关联效应；当期的国际旅游收入产生一个单位的正向冲击,对后期国际旅游收入具有较大的长期拉动作用,说明包括FDI直接或关联效应引致的入境旅客的旅游信息扩散效应对国际旅游收入增长发挥了重要作用.

The Research on the Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on International Tourism Receipts

Foreign direct investment could promote the host country tourism services exports by two ways of directly stimulating and spillover effect.Through 1982—2009 time series data co-integration analysis showed that there was a long-term equilibrium relationship between international tourism receipts and foreign direct investment in China.FDI was a reason of the short-term fluctuations of international tourism receipts,which verified the direct role of FDI on international tourism receipts.A current positive shock of FDI would promote long-term stability growth of later stage international tourism receipts,which verified the linkage effect of FDI on international tourism receipts.A current positive impact of international tourism receipts would play a bigger long-term stability growth role on itself later,which meant travel information transmission effects of entry passengers that caused by direct driving and associated effect of FDI had played an important role on growth of international tourism receipts.