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两种标准下西安市环境空气质量的定量研究
引用本文:张娟娟,朱家明,朱海龙.两种标准下西安市环境空气质量的定量研究[J].科技和产业,2014,14(11):151-155.
作者姓名:张娟娟  朱家明  朱海龙
作者单位:安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠,233030
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目,国家级大学生创新创业训练计划项目,安徽省大学生创新创业训练计划项目,高校省级优秀青年人才基金项目
摘    要:针对新旧空气质量标准差异、西安市空气质量影响因素和预测西安市未来空气质量,通过模糊综合评价、主成分分析和三次指数平滑等方法,建立模糊综合评价、主成分分析和三次指数平滑等模型,综合评价两种空气质量标准(API、AQI),分析出西安市空气质量的影响因素包括季节和能源消耗结构等以及预测出西安市未来一周空气质量为中度污染。

关 键 词:西安市空气质量  API  AQI  模糊综合评价  主成分分析  时间序列模型

Study of Xi'an City Ambient Air Quality Based on the Two Standards
ZHANG Juan-juan,ZHU Jia-ming,ZHU Hai-long.Study of Xi''an City Ambient Air Quality Based on the Two Standards[J].SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL,2014,14(11):151-155.
Authors:ZHANG Juan-juan  ZHU Jia-ming  ZHU Hai-long
Institution:(Institute of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233030, China)
Abstract:The paper is aimed at the difference between old and new air quality standards, the impact factors on air quality in Xi'an city and the prediction of Xi'an city future air quality. According to fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, principal component analysis and the three exponential smoothing methods, we have established fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, principal component analysis and the three exponential smoothing models. Besides we also evaluate the two kinds of air quality standard (API, AQI) comprehensively, analyze the impact of air quality in Xi'an city factors including seasonal and energy consumption structure and predict the Xi'an city next week for air quality pollution.
Keywords:the air quality in Xi'an city  API  AQI  fuzzy comprehensive evaluation  principal component analysis  time series model
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