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| 棉花种植业对新疆农业经济发展及农民收入影响变动的量化分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 张庆红,胡毅,夏咏. 棉花种植业对新疆农业经济发展及农民收入影响变动的量化分析[J]. 经济问题, 2012, 0(6): 82-86 |
| 作者姓名： | 张庆红 胡毅 夏咏 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 中国人民大学统计学院,北京100872／新疆财经大学统计信息学院,乌鲁木齐830012 2. 新疆财经大学统计信息学院,乌鲁木齐,830012 3. 新疆农业大学经贸学院,乌鲁木齐,830052 |
| 基金项目： | 新疆农业大学中亚农业经济与农产品贸易研究中心项目“新疆与鸟兹别克斯坦棉花严业国际竞争力比较研究” |
| 摘 要： | 利用计量经济模型分析棉花种植业对新疆农业经济发展及农民收入的影响。研究结果表明:从长期看棉花种植面积的增加对农业经济发展的贡献是边际递减的,农民种植棉花的比较效益优势不断下降;不同的棉花主产区棉花产量的增加对棉农收入的影响作用差异较大。当前新疆在发展棉花种植业的过程中迫切需要地方政府给予一定的引导,因此,应建立完善科学的棉花市场监测体系,及时把握准确的市场信息,以期对今后的棉花生产及产业发展做出正确的指导。 |
| 关 键 词： | 棉花种植业 农业经济 农民收入 |
The Quantitative Analysis of The Change of The Cotton Industry to Agriculture Economy Development and Farmer Income in Xinjiaing |
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| ZHANG Qing-hong,HU Yi,XIA Yong. The Quantitative Analysis of The Change of The Cotton Industry to Agriculture Economy Development and Farmer Income in Xinjiaing[J]. On Economic Problems, 2012, 0(6): 82-86 | |
| Authors: | ZHANG Qing-hong HU Yi XIA Yong |
| Affiliation: | 1.School of Statistics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China; 2.School of Statistics and Information,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,China; 3.School of Economics and Trade,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi 830052,China) |
| Abstract: | This paper uses econometric model analysis The cotton industry of Xinjiang agricultural economy development and farmer’s income.The results show that: In the long term,the contribution of the cotton planting to agricultural economy is marginal decrease,the comparative advantage of farmers’ planting cotton drops ceaselessly.The increasing cotton produce of different areas affect farmers’ income differently.So the development of cotton planting needs local government to give certain guidance.Besides,we must set up a scientific cotton market monitoring system,timely and accurately grasp the market information,inorder to the future development of cotton production to make the right decision. |
| Keywords: | cotton industry agricultural economy farmers' income |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |