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我国房地产价格增长周期波动的实证分析
引用本文:徐会军,唐志军,巴曙松.我国房地产价格增长周期波动的实证分析[J].上海财经大学学报,2010(2):74-81.
作者姓名:徐会军  唐志军  巴曙松
作者单位:东北大学管理学院;东北财经大学经济学院;国务院发展研究中心金融研究所;
摘    要:本文通过ADF检验、协整检验和VAR脉冲分析方法对影响我国房地产价格增长率周期波动的供给因素、需求因素和资本因素进行了实证分析,对影响我国房市价格的主要供求和资本影响因素及其作用机理和作用时间作了研究。

关 键 词:房地产  价格增长  周期波动  实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Periodic Fluctuations of Real Estate Price Increases in China
XU Hui-jun,TANG Zhi-jun,BA Shu-song.Empirical Analysis on Periodic Fluctuations of Real Estate Price Increases in China[J].Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,2010(2):74-81.
Authors:XU Hui-jun  TANG Zhi-jun  BA Shu-song
Institution:XU Hui-jun1,TANG Zhi-jun2,BA Shu-song3(1.School of Business Administration,Northeastern University,Liaoning Shenyang 110004,China,2.School of Economics,Dongbei University of Financial , Economic,Liaoning Dalian 116023,3.Research Institute of Finance,Development Research Center of the State Council,Beijing 100010,China)
Abstract:Through ADF test, co-integration tests and VAR analysis, the paper empirically analyzes the influencing factors of periodic fluctuations of price increase in China’s real estate market such as supply, demand and capital. It studies the main influencing factors of supply, demand and capital, and their function mechanism and time.
Keywords:real estate  price increase  periodic fluctuation  empirical analysis  
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