我国服务业外商直接投资的经济增长效应——基于9个行业面板数据的实证研究

本文利用固定效应模型对1997-2003年服务业各行业的相关数据进行了短期效应和长期效应的分析,结果表明:服务业外商直接投资具有一定的经济增长效应,但是在不同时间段差异较大。从短期看,1997-2000年期间,服务业外商直接投资具有负的经济增长效应,而在2001-2003年期间,服务业外商直接投资具有正的经济增长效应。从长期看,1997-2000年期间,滞后两年的服务业外商直接投资具有较强的正的经济增长效应,2001-2003年期间,滞后一年的服务业外商直接投资具有比当年更大的正的经济增长效应。最后提出了相关的政策建议。

The Effect of FDI in Services on Economic Growth in China:An Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data of Nine Industries

Using panel data in the period of 1997-2003 in China, this paper estimates the short and long term effect of FDI in services on economic growth. It shows that FDI in services has a significant impact on economic growth, but the impact is different in different period. In the short term, FDI in services has negative effect on economic growth during 1997-2000 and has positive effect on economic growth during 2001-2003. In the long term, FDI in services lagged two years has positive effect on economic growth during 1997-2000, and FDI in services lagged one year has larger positive effect on economic growth than the same year. In the end, the paper puts forward some suggestions.