中国苏北进出口贸易水平实证分析

苏北外贸发展面临的约束和阻力是多方面的,既有制度建设、贸易条件方面的,也有贸易方式、商品结构和认识偏差等方面的。破除约束的关键在于外贸发展取向的选择与转变,要致力于系统的制度安排、立足于贸易条件的改善和发展取向的转变;在外贸出口稳定增长的主体思路、主要政策选择、主要产业导向、主要支撑体系等方面,探索新的发展模式。基于此,以苏北、苏南、苏中和沿海2000—2010年的进出口贸易数据为基础,通过聚类、回归分析来认识中国苏北进出口贸易总体水平,综合分析多重约束下苏北进出口贸易的发展。

Empirical analysis on the level of the import and export trade in northern Jiangsu in China

Constraints to the development of foreign trade in northern Jiangsu and resistance are multifaceted,system development,terms of trade,terms of trade,commodity structure and deficiency.Is the key to breaking the constraints of development orientation and changes in foreign trade,to be committed to the system of institutional arrangements,based on the improvement in trading conditions and developmental direction of change;in the steady growth of exports of the main idea,the main policy options,the main industry guide,the primary support system,exploring the development of new model.Based on this,in northern Jiangsu and southern and Central Jiangsu coastal 2000-2010 and based on the import and export trade data,using cluster analysis,regression analysis to understand the overall level of China’s import and export trade in northern Jiangsu,comprehensive analysis of import/export trade development in North Jiangsu under multiple constraints.