The consumption–investment decision of a prospect theory household: A two-period model |
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Institution: | 1. Department of Economics and Center for Rationality, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, USA;2. S.C. Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University, USA;1. DTU Management Engineering, Management Science, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet 426, Kgs. Lyngby 2800, Denmark;2. Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Bendheim Center for Finance, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, United States |
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Abstract: | This study extends the literature on portfolio choice under prospect theory preferences by introducing a two-period life cycle model, where the sufficiently loss averse household decides on optimal consumption and investment in a portfolio with one risk-free and one risky asset. The optimal solution depends primarily on whether the household’s present value of the consumption reference levels is below, equal to, or above the present value of its endowment income. Reference levels below the endowment income are associated with the self-enhancement motive. In this case, the household avoids relative losses in consumption in any present or future state of nature (good or bad). As a result the degree of loss aversion does not directly affect optimal consumption and risk taking activity. Reference levels equal to the endowment income are associated with the belonging motive. An example would be a household comparing to others that belong to the same social class. In this case the household’s optimal consumption is the reference consumption and the household will not invest in the risky asset. Finally, reference levels above the endowment income are associated with the self-improvement motive (or high aspirations). For such high reference levels, households cannot avoid experiencing a relative loss in consumption, either now or in the future. As a result, loss aversion directly affects consumption and risky investment. |
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Keywords: | Prospect theory Loss aversion Consumption–savings decision Portfolio allocation Happiness |
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