能源碳排放与环境污染空间效应研究——基于能源强度与技术进步视角的空间杜宾计量模型

本文基于空间环境库兹涅茨曲线理论探讨经济发展约束下能源强度和技术进步对大气环境的空间效应作用机理，采用探索性空间分析工具、经典最小二乘估计（OLS）、空间滞后模型（SLM）、空间误差模型（SEM）和空间杜宾--可拓展随机性环境影响评估模型（Spatial Durbin-STIRPAT Models）探索能源碳排放与大气环境污染的空间格局和空间溢出效应。实证估计结果表明，能源碳排放与空气环境污染在空间分布上表现出空间正相关性和空间集聚效应；能源强度与技术进步对能源碳排放与大气环境的空间溢出效应显著。在此基础上提出了相应的政策建议。

Spatial Effects of Energy-Related Carbon Emissions and Environmental Pollution ——STIRPAT Durbin Model Based on Energy Intensity and Technology Progress

This paper discusses spatial effect mechanism of energy intensity and technology progress on air environment based on Environmental Kuznets Curve theory. Exploration tool, classical least squares estimation （OLS）, spatial lag model （SLM）, spatial error model （SEM） and spatial Durbin-STIRPAT models are employed to explore the spatial pattern and spatial effects of energy-related carbon emissions and air pollution. Empirical results show that energy carbon emissions and air pollution have positive spatial correlation and spatial agglomeration effect; spatial spillover effects of energy intensity and technology progress on energy carbon emissions and air pollution are signi?cantly positive. Finally, measures to reduce emissions and save energy are proposed.