中国会重蹈日本八十年代的覆辙吗

当前中国的经济形势与20世纪80年代后期的日本非常相似,本国货币持续地升值,资金大量涌入股市和房市,使股价房价大幅上涨。那么中国是否会重蹈日本的覆辙呢?比较分析表明中日有诸多不同的地方,中国处于高速增长期而日本经济处于平稳增长期,中国宏观政策稳健而日本宏观政策失当,日元大幅升值而人民币小幅缓慢升值,因此,日本泡沫破灭之后的长达十年之久的萧条不太可能在中国重演。

China will follow the same old disastrous road of Japan's 80s

Present economic situation of our country is similar to that of Japanese in the late 1980s.Will Chinese economy have the same end as that of Japan in the 1990s? According the results of the comparative analysis,China is in the rapid development period,the macroeconomic policies are stable and RMB appreciates by slight and slow step.However,in the late 1980s,Japan was in the stable development,the macroeconomic policies were not suitable and Japanese Yen appreciated sharply.Thus,the economic depression of Japan in the 1990s won't happen in China again.