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Sequential decisions under uncertainty and the maximum theorem
Authors:Martin F. Hellwig
Affiliation:aInstitut für Volkswirtschaft, Universität Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland;bDepartment of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Abstract:For sequential decision problems in which the decision-maker observes a process of state variables and chooses an adapted process of action variables, the paper defines a topology on the space of measures of processes of state variables which ensures the applicability of Berge's maximum theorem to the decision-maker's optimal behavior. The topology controls for the information available to the decision-maker at each decision date. The paper also discusses the implications of the analysis for the dynamic-programming approach to sequential decision-making under uncertainty, and for equilibrium existence proof strategies in sequential-market models and games.
Keywords:Sequential decisions under uncertainty   Maximum theorem   Dynamic programming
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