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The treatment of seasonality in error correction models as unobserved component: a case study for an Austrian consumption function
Authors:Michael Wüger  Gerhard Thury
Affiliation:?sterreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Postfach 91, A-1103 WIEN, Austria (E-mail: Michael.Wueger@wifo.ac.at), AT
Abstract:
This paper deals with an alternative approach to treating seasonality in error correction models for consumption with a parsimonious parameterization as proposed by Harvey and Scott. We introduce an unobserved seasonal component into an error correction model for Austrian consumer expenditures on nondurables and services and compare the results with different approaches. The use of stochastic seasonal results in a definite improvement of the estimated model. First version received: October 1997/Final version received: May 2000
Keywords:: ECM   Unobserved Components   Seasonality   Consumption
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