| 进出口对浙江经济增长拉动作用的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙敬水,龚江洪. 进出口对浙江经济增长拉动作用的实证研究[J]. 财经论丛, 2006, 0(2): 29-34 |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙敬水 龚江洪 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江工商大学现代商贸研究中心,浙江,杭州,310035
2. 浙江工商大学经济学院,浙江,杭州,310035 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用浙江省1980-2004年的统计数据,采用协整检验和VAR模型,从短期波动和长期均衡角度就进出口对浙江经济增长的拉动作用进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,从长期来看,出口对经济增长的拉动作用具有显著的持续性,而进口对经济增长的拉动作用具有非显著的持续性;从短期来看,进出口对经济增长都有拉动作用,但进口对经济增长的拉动作用小于出口。
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| 关 键 词： | 出口 进口 经济增长:协整检验 VAR模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-4892(2006)02-0029-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-11-09 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-11-09 |
An Empirical Study of Import and Export Effect on Economic Growth of Zhejiang Province |
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| SUN Jing-shui,GONG Jiang-hong. An Empirical Study of Import and Export Effect on Economic Growth of Zhejiang Province[J]. Collected Essays On Finance and Economics, 2006, 0(2): 29-34 |
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| Authors: | SUN Jing-shui GONG Jiang-hong |
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| Affiliation: | 1 . The Research Center of Business and Trade, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310035, China ; 2. School of Economics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310035, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper studies import and export effect on economic growth with Zhejiang province data covering the period of 1980-2004.The effect is examined by co-integration testing and VAR modeling.The results show that from the long-term perspective export and import have a positive effect on economic growth of Zhejiang,but from the short-term perspective export has a stronger effect on economic growth of Zhejiang than import. |
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| Keywords: | export import economic growth co-integration testing VAR model |
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