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A structural economic dynamics approach to balance-of-payments-constrained growth
Authors:Araujo  Ricardo Azevedo; Lima  Gilberto Tadeu
Institution:* Catholic University of Brasília; and University of São Paulo, respectively
Abstract:This paper derives a balance-of-payments equilibrium growthrate analogous to Thirlwall's Law from a Pasinettian multi-sectormacrodynamic framework. The resulting formula, which we callthe Multi-Sectoral Thirlwall's Law, asserts that a country'sgrowth rate of per capita income is directly proportional tothe growth rate of its exports, with such a proportionalitybeing inversely (directly) related to sectoral income elasticitiesof demand for imports (exports). These income elasticities areweighted by coefficients that measure the share of each sectorin total imports and exports, respectively. It is shown thatseveral theoretical, empirical and policy implications can bedrawn from such a structural economic dynamics approach to balance-of-payments-constrainedgrowth.
Keywords:Structural economic dynamics  Foreign trade multiplier  Balance-of-payments-constrained growth  Uneven development
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