天津滨海新区住房供应结构研究（上）

天津滨海新区（下称新区）近几年房地产开发中的住房投资过高，政府应关注当年的去化率。新区户籍人口大多拥有自住房，住房困难家庭较少。至2020年，新区人口密度和GDP总量均与住房销售面积正相关；塘沽依然是新区商品房销售热区，大港占比快速上升，汉沽交易量相对较少，这需要通过合理运用土地资源，完善相关配套设施，促进地区均衡发展；划分四个m^2价格段、四种m^2户型面积分别进行预测，以百分比和m^2显示；以商品房、蓝白领公寓、社会租赁房各类住房总需求预测供应总量；以就业机会、交通便利性、配套设施完备及其他为主要选址因素，建立住房选址评价体系和递阶层次结构，通过合成层次总权重确定各指标权重，运用软件实现计算操作。实现新区预测住房供应结构应将核心区向综合性、现代化、国际化都市方向发展，成为功能完善的宜居城区;将服务业与工业融合，使其高度关联；注重智能化、生态环保等一系列建设，使其与产业布局的区域特点相对接。

The Research of Housing Supply Structure of Binhai New Area

The housing investment of real estate development is too high in Binhai New Area these recent years, the government should pay close attention to the selling rate of those years. Most householders of New Area have their own houses, the number of housing difficulties families is small Both the density of population and total GDP are positively correlated to housing space sold in New Area by 2020; Tanggu is still a sales zone of commercial housing here, Dagang accounts for a rapidly rising share, and transactions were smaller in Hangu. It has to promote the balanced development of the area through executing the land resources and completing supporting facilities. To divide four price-segment and four house types in m＇,forecast respectively, and show it in % and m＇.To predict the total supplement from the total demand of commercial house, blue collar apartment and social rental house. Taking employment opportunity, traffic convenience, complete facilities and other factors as the main location factors to establish the housing location evaluation system and the hierarchical structure, the weight of each index is determined by synthetic hierarchy total weight, and use the software to calculate and operate. In order to predict the housing supply structure of New Area, it should develop the core area to a comprehensive, modern and international metropolitan become it a livable city with perfect function. Make high correlation according to the fusion of services and industry. Pay attention to a series of construction like intelligent and ecological environmental protection, and make it dock with the regional characteristics of industrial layout