| 我国服务贸易与经济增长关系的研究——基于1985-2007年时序数据的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄娟.我国服务贸易与经济增长关系的研究——基于1985-2007年时序数据的实证分析[J].无锡商业职业技术学院学报,2010,10(4):20-23. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄娟 |
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| 作者单位： | 中南财经政法大学,工商管理学院,湖北,武汉,430074 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章基于1985-2007年我国服务贸易进口、出口与GDP样本数据,对三者之间的关系,进行协整分析、因果关系检验和建立误差修正模型,对我国服务贸易与经济增长的关系作出实证分析。结果表明:三者之间存在唯一的长期稳定的动态协整关系;但三者之间均不存在双向的因果关系,其中,服务贸易出口是拉动GDP增长的原因,因此我们应大力鼓励服务贸易的出口。
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| 关 键 词： | 服务贸易 经济增长 协整关系 |
Study of the Relationships between Service Trade and Economic Growth in China |
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| HUANG Juan.Study of the Relationships between Service Trade and Economic Growth in China[J].Journal of Vocational Institute of Commercial Technology,2010,10(4):20-23. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Juan |
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| Institution: | HUANG Juan(School of Business Administration,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan,430074,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the sample data between 1985 and 2007,this paper measures the co-integration relationships between China＇s service import and export and GDP by using empirical analysis methods,and comes to the conclusion that there exist only long-term stability and dynamic co-integration relationships,but do not have bidirectional causal relationships,and service export is a major reason to encourage economic growth,therefore,we should develop the export of the services. |
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| Keywords: | service trade economic growth co-integration relationships |
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