我国产业能源消耗对经济产出和就业的异质性影响——基于面板协整模型的实证分析

文章在对我国三大产业进行细分的基础上,基于1985-2009年各产业能源消费量、产值和就业人数的统计数据,采用面板协整模型对三者之间的互动关系进行了实证检验。检验结果显示,不同产业及产业内部主要部门在能源产出弹性和能源就业弹性方面存在着显著的差异,产业能源消耗的异质性决定了能源消耗低碳化对经济产出及就业产生的不同影响,表明低碳经济应与经济产出和就业保持均衡的发展关系。

Heterogeneous Effect of Industrial Energy Consumption on Economic Output and Employment in China: Empirical Study Based on Panel Co-integration Model

Based on a subdivision of three major industries in China,this paper employs panel co-integration model to make an empirical study on the relationship among industrial energy consumption,output and employment by collecting relevant statistical data from 1985 to 2009.It shows that the output elasticity and employment elasticity of energy consumption differ widely in industries and intra-industry important sectors,and the heterogeneity of industrial energy consumption determines the effects of low-carbonization of energy consumption on economic output and employment,suggesting that low-carbon economy should maintain balanced developing relations with economic output and employment.