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THE BURDEN OF DURABLE ASSET ACQUISITION IN GROWING POPULATIONS
Authors:Jane N O'Sullivan
Institution:University of Queensland
Abstract:While most analyses of economic impacts of population growth have been equivocal, this article describes a new perspective from which the effects are strongly negative. The economies and diseconomies of population size are largely circumstantial and empirically inconsistent, but those of growth rate are intrinsic and consistent. These impacts are not apparent on income and per capita GDP, but on costs. The article estimates these costs using the logic of calculus rather than marginal accounting. Specifically, the cost of maintaining per capita capacity of durable assets, including infrastructure, equipment and skilled personnel, is increased by population growth by a factor proportional to the working lifespan of the asset class.
Keywords:population economics  diseconomies of growth rate  infrastructure provision  skilled labour supply  demographic dividend  age dependency
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