Residual income,value-relevant information and equity valuation: a simultaneous equations approach |
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Authors: | Ruey S Tsay Yi-Mien Lin Hsiao-Wen Wang |
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Institution: | (1) Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, Chicago, USA;(2) Department of Accounting, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan;(3) Department of Accounting, National Changhua University of Education, Changhua, Taiwan |
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Abstract: | The paper uses Ohlson (Contemp Account Res 11:661–687, 1995) and compares the relative predictability of the proposed simultaneous
model for contemporaneous stock price with a traditional single equation model used by the previous studies. The paper also
explores how residual income and value-relevant information affect firms’ equity price. The main results of the paper suggest
that the predictive ability and estimation efficiency of the simultaneous models in explaining contemporaneous stock prices
are better than those of the traditional single models. Moreover, investors will use the value-relevant information beyond
accounting earnings, namely analysts’ earnings forecasts, bankruptcy cost and agency cost, in equity valuation to make decision.
Note particularly, the higher the bankruptcy or agency cost is, the more important the role it plays in equity valuation and,
on average, the higher the accuracy of price prediction is.
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Keywords: | Residual income valuation model Dynamic linear information model Agency cost Bankruptcy cost |
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