物流发展IGJAHP评价模型及空间格局分析--以安徽省为例

采用模糊区间层次分析法(IGJAHP),构筑物流产业发展综合评价模型,对安徽省物流发展的总体水平进行测算,并将其进程划分为恢复建设、缓慢发展、快速发展以及现代物流发展等四个阶段;在综合分析的基础上,把安徽省物流划分为皖江物流发展轴,合肥、蚌埠、阜阳物流大三角,东部外围和中西部等四大空间格局;而后,对安徽省17个地市历年物流发展水平进行评估,并计算物流发展地域差异系数,结果显示安徽省物流发展在空间上呈现地域差异扩大的趋势,在时间上经历了分散阶段和集中化阶段两个过程;然后,对安徽省物流生成量进行科学测算,分析显示其空间分布比较均匀。最后,从综合物流网络、物流信息通道、物流企业再造以及物流法规等方面提出发展对策。

THE IGJAHP EVALUTES MODEL OF LOGISTICS DEVELOPMENT AND THE ANALYSIS OF SPATIAL STRUCTURE FOR ANHUI PROVINCE

The paper build up the IGJAHP evaluation model of logistics development based on analysis of every factor in the logistics development,measure the level of logistics developed,and divide its progress into four stages: instauration construct,slow development,fast development and modern logistics develops;in the foundation of synthesizing analysis,the paper divides the logistics of Anhui into four regions,including Yangzi-river logistics region,and logistics triangle of Hefei-Bengbu-Fuyang,and eastern outer circle,and central-western.Then,compute the level of logistics development for seventh cities in Anhui province,and compute the region difference coefficient of logistics development,the result show the aggrandizement trend of region difference coefficient of logistics development on the space,experiencing two stage on time: scatter stage and concentrations.Then,calculate the quantity of logistics base on scientific measure,from the analysis,it shows that the spacial distribute of Anhui's logistics is even.Finally,the paper puts forward the developping countermeasure form comprehensive logistics network,logistics information flat,logistics corporation innovation and logistics laws etc.