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马尔柯夫法在石油价格预测中的应用
引用本文:宋达扬.马尔柯夫法在石油价格预测中的应用[J].价值工程,2005,24(12):105-107.
作者姓名:宋达扬
作者单位:河海大学应用经济研究所,南京,210098
基金项目:河海大学211工程建设子项目应用经济学科建设研究成果之一(项目编号:211020806).
摘    要:21世纪世界对能源的争夺将越来越激烈。各国为保障本国的经济稳定持续发展,都不遗余力地加入到对能源,特别是石油的争夺中来。本文通过对近四年世界石油价格的分析,利用马尔柯夫预测法,对未来油价的高低可能性进行预测,对马尔柯夫预测法的适用性进行总结。

关 键 词:马尔柯夫法  石油价格  预测
文章编号:1006-4311(2005)12-0105-03

The Applications of Marlcov Law in Predicting the Price of Petroleum
Song Dayang.The Applications of Marlcov Law in Predicting the Price of Petroleum[J].Value Engineering,2005,24(12):105-107.
Authors:Song Dayang
Institution:Applied Economics Institute, Hehai University, Nanjing 210098,China
Abstract:In the 21st century, the competion for natural resources such as petroleum becomes fierce. Every country is doing its best to compete for the limited nature resources especially petroleum for the sake of their own development. Using Malcov law in this article the prices of petroleum in the last four years across the world is analyzed and future price changes are predicted. This article also summarizes the applicability of Malcov laws in differcnt fields.
Keywords:malcov law petroleum price  prediction
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