金融中介发展与产业结构升级——基于江苏省数据的实证研究

在国内外研究的基础上,通过分析金融中介发展和产业结构调整的内在联系,采用1987-2006年江苏省相关数据,利用非平稳时间序列分析方法进行定量研究。结果表明,金融中介发展指标与产业结构升级指标存在长期均衡关系,金融中介规模扩大对产业结构升级有正向促进作用,且金融中介规模和产业结构升级有双向因果关系。金融中介信贷规模对产业结构升级贡献不显著。

To Develop Financial Intermediaries with Industrial Structure Upgrading——An Empirical Study Based on Data from Jiangsu Province

Base on domestic and international research results, the intrinsic relationship is investigated between the financial intermediaries development and industrial structure upgrading. Applying non-stationary time series analysis, relative historical data from Jiangsu province from 1987-2006 is analyzed. The result shows that the financial intermediaries development indices and industrial upgrading indices reach long-term equilibrium, and that the expansion of the scale of financial intermediaries will promote industrial structure upgrading. It also shows that there is bilateral Ganger causality relation between the scale of financial intermediaries and industrial structure upgrading, but the credit scale of financial intermediaries have no prominent contribution to industrial structure upgrading.