新型工业化发展水平及影响因素的实证分析——以陕西省为例

加快转变经济发展方式是继续推进我国现代化进程的战略选择,而走有地方特色的新型工业化道路是转变经济发展方式、实现又好又快发展的内在要求和根本途径。为了更好地评价新型工业化的发展水平,构建了新型工业化评价指标体系,利用AHP层次分析法和灰色关联度分析法计算出了2000—2010年陕西省新型工业化发展水平指数,并对五个中间层指标进行逐个分析。得出的结论是:陕西省新型工业化水平自2005年以来呈现出高速增长的态势,但目前仍处于量化积累阶段,其中信息化水平和科技水平的滞后严重阻碍了陕西省新型工业化的发展。

Empirical Analysis of New-type Industrialization Level and Its Influencing Factors of Shaanxi Province

Accelerating the transformation of economic development pattern is the strategic choice for China to further realize its modernization,while the new-type industrialization with regional characteristic is the inherent requirement and fundamental way to carry it out and to achieve a sound and rapid development.In order to better evaluate the level of new-type industrialization,this paper conducted an evaluation index system and calculated the new-type industrialization level of Shanxi Province on an annual basis through 2000 to 2010 with Analytic Hierarchy Process and Grey Relational Analysis method.We also conducted separate analysis on each of the five intermediate factors.The results show that the level of Shaanxi’s new-type industrialization has greatly increased since 2005,however,currently it is still in its quantitative accumulation stage.The lag of informative,scientific and technological advancements severely hindered the development of Shaanxi’s new-type industrialization.