新兴市场国家服务贸易影响因素的实证分析

伴随着世界产业结构升级与国际分工体系的不断深化，新兴市场国家服务贸易发展迅速。论文运用2004-2013年的数据，选取服务业GDP、服务业增加值占GDP的比重、服务业开放度、服务业就业人员占比、国家居民最终消费支出和外国直接投资六个因素，实证分析这些因素对新兴市场国家整体及对其中的印度和中国两国的服务贸易的影响，并比较分析中、印两国服务贸易竞争力及影响因素的差异，最后提出提升新兴市场国家整体贸易竞争力及中国服务贸易竞争力的政策建议。

Empirical Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Service Trade in Emerging Market

Along with the upgrading of industrial structure and the deepening of international division of labor, the service trade developed rapidly in emerging markets countries. Utilizing data from 2004 to 2013, the article selects six factors including GDP in service industry, proportion of value added in service industry to GDP, openness of service industry, proportion of employers in service industry, the final consumption expenditure of national residents and FDI, and analyzes the influences of these factors to emerging markets countries in a whole as well as the influences to the service trade in India and China in an empirical studies approach. The article also studies the differences of service trade competitiveness and influencing factors between China and India and brings forward policy proposals aiming for enhancements of trade competitiveness of emerging markets countries and competitiveness of China's service trade.