粤港澳大湾区城市建设用地和经济规模增长格局演变及协同关系

文章研究了1990—2017年期间粤港澳大湾区各城市建设用地增长情况及经济规模变化情况,并对二者之间的协同关系进行了分析。主要结论如下:1990—2017年,粤港澳大湾区各城市建设用地增长速度总体呈加快态势,各城市在不同时期建设用地增长速度的变化与城市所处发展阶段的变化密切相关。大湾区内城市经济规模多数在广东—港澳范围内排行前列,且位序逐渐攀升,仅有肇庆和澳门在1990—2017年经济规模在广东—港澳范围内排序明显下降。以1990年为基期,至2017年,大湾区整体建设用地与经济规模增长的协同度一直处于上升的态势,有序性不断增强,上升速度2010—2017年期间与之前相比有明显的下降,体现出近年来随着城市化进程的不断推进,建设用地增长和经济规模增长二者之间的相互依赖程度有所下降。各城市间建设用地与经济规模增长的协同度演变差异性十分明显。深圳、珠海、中山三个城市建设用地增长对经济规模增长的作用效率在研究期间不断上升,其他多数城市研究期间该效率在2000—2010年期间达到最高,2010—2017年期间均出现明显下降。各城市间产业的发展阶段以及目标定位的不同造成了建设用地和经济规模增长协同性...

Evolution and Synergy of Urban Construction Land and Economic Growth Patterns in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

This paper studies the growth of construction land and the change of economic scale in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area from 1990 to 2017,and analyses the synergistic relationship between them.The main conclusions are as follows:from 1990 to 2017,the growth rate of construction land in the cities of Greater Bay Area has been accelerating.The change of the growth rate of construction land in different periods is closely related to the change of the development stage of the city.Most of the cities in the Greater Bay Area rank among the top ones in the area of Guangdong province,Hong Kong and Macao,and their rankings are gradually rising.Only Zhaoqing and Macao ranked significantly lower from 1990 to 2017.From 1990 to 2017,the synergy and ordered performance between the construction land and the economic growth in the Greater Bay Area has been on the rise.The growth rate of the construction land in 2010-2017 has obviously decreased compared with the previous period,which reflects that,in recent years,with the continuous advancement of urbanization,the degree of interdependence between the growth of construction land and the economy has decreased.There are obvious differences in the evolution of synergy degree between construction land and economic scale growth among cities.The efficiency of the growth of construction land in Shenzhen,Zhuhai and Zhongshan on economic growth has been rising during the study period.The efficiency of most other cities reached its highest level during the period 2000-2010,and declined significantly during 2010-2017.The different development stages and target orientation of industries among cities result in the difference of synergy between construction land and economic scale growth.