广东省对外贸易与经济增长的实证研究

改革开放后,广东以"三来一补"、"大进大出"的加工贸易起步,大量吸引外商投资,对外贸易与GDP总额飞速增长。2007年广东GDP超过台湾的3766亿美元,追赶"四小龙"15年后广东经济总量已超其三,紧追韩国。对外贸易是广东经济增长的主要推动力,准确衡量对外贸易对广东经济增长的贡献率,对于改善广东外贸结构,加强对外贸易对广东经济增长的促进作用,顺利实现广东"十一·五"规划目标,率先进入小康社会,具有重大的实践意义。

The Empirical Research on Foreign Trade and Economic Growth of Guangdong Province

Abstract: After the adoption of reform and opening-up policy, Guangdong attracted substantial foreign investment and achieved a rapid growth of both foreign trade and GDP initiated by processing trade business called "three types of processing plus compensation trades". In the year 2007, Guangdong's GDP has exceeded Taiwan, caught up with the "Four Little Dragons" regions except Korea. Foreign trade is the main driving force behind economic growth in Guangdong. Therefore, an accurate measurement about the contributions of foreign trade on economic growth rate has great practical significance on the improvement of Guangdong foreign trade structure, strengthening foreign trade's role in promoting economic growth, accomplishing Guangdong "11th Five-Year Plan" planning, and taking the lead in entering the well-off society.