| 入世后中国汽车工业安全度的DEA模型估算 |
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| 引用本文： | 何维达,刘满凤.入世后中国汽车工业安全度的DEA模型估算[J].首都经济贸易大学学报,2005,7(2):42-49. |
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| 作者姓名： | 何维达 刘满凤 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京科技大学,北京,100083
2. 江西财经大学,江西,南昌,330013 |
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| 基金项目： | 本文得到教育部新世纪优秀青年教师支持计划项目和北京科技大学"422高层次创新人才工程"人才基金资助项目的资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 汽车工业长期以来是我国重点实行保护政策的产业,因而也是入世后受冲击最大的产业之一。但是这种冲击到底有多大,以及在入世后的各个年份中,这种冲击又是如何分布的?尽管有不少学者已做了一些定性分析,但是定量估算的研究则少之又少。本文首先对入世后的汽车工业发展环境进行了分析,然后对入世后汽车工业发展的关键指标数据进行了预测,最后应用DEA模型对入世后汽车工业安全度进行了估算,得出了有说服力的估算结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 中国汽车工业 关税 安全度 估算 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-2700(2005)02-0042-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年9月10日 |
The Research of Safety Estimation in Automobile Industry After China Joining WTO |
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| HE Wei-d,LIU Man-feng.The Research of Safety Estimation in Automobile Industry After China Joining WTO[J].Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business,2005,7(2):42-49. |
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| Authors: | HE Wei-d LIU Man-feng |
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| Institution: | HE Wei-da,LIU Man-feng University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing 100083,China, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China |
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| Abstract: | Automobile industry is always being the emphases protected industry for a long time. As a result, it will be the most impacted industry after China joining WTO. We wish to know how extent the impact is, and what is the distribution of this impact in the future years. Although many qualitative researches have being done in this realm, the most important thing is to do some research of quantitative estimation. In this paper, first the automobile industry developing condition has been analyzed after China joining WTO, second the key indexes datum of automobile industry development in future are forecasted, and last the DEA model of estimating automobile industry development security has been set up, the corresponding rational estimation results are obtained. |
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| Keywords: | automobile industry tariff safety degree estimation |
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