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城市电网负荷预测方法研究
引用本文:崔凯,李敬如,陈伟,张昊昱.城市电网负荷预测方法研究[J].电力技术经济,2009,21(4):33-38.
作者姓名:崔凯  李敬如  陈伟  张昊昱
作者单位:国网北京经济技术研究院,北京,100761
摘    要:介绍了不同负荷预测方法的适用范围,分析了我国城市电网负荷发展的特点,给出了城市电网负荷预测的思路和重点;在此基础上,提出了城市规划不同阶段和城市不同地区的负荷预测实现方法,进一步研究了提高城市电网负荷预测结果准确性的主要措施。

关 键 词:城市电网  电网规划  负荷预测  适用范围

Research on Load Forecasting Methods of Urban Power Grid
CUI Kai,LI Jing-ru,CHEN Wei,ZHANG Hao-yu.Research on Load Forecasting Methods of Urban Power Grid[J].Electric Power Technologic Economics,2009,21(4):33-38.
Authors:CUI Kai  LI Jing-ru  CHEN Wei  ZHANG Hao-yu
Institution:CUI Kai,LI Jing-ru,CHEN Wei,ZHANG Hao-yu(State Power Economic Research Institute,Beijing 100761,China)
Abstract:While summarizing applicable scopes of different load forecasting methods,this study gives the direction and keys of the urban power grid load forecasting,which are based on the characteristics analysis of the development of the urban power load in China.On the basis of that,it proposes a practical load forecasting method for different areas of a city at different grid planning phases.Main measures to enhance the accuracy of the load forecasting are further explored,as forecasts are often affected by unknow...
Keywords:urban power grid  power grid planning  load forecasting  applicable scope  
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