| 我国进口贸易与经济增长关系的协整分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐世腾.我国进口贸易与经济增长关系的协整分析[J].商业研究,2005(23):96-98. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐世腾 |
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| 作者单位： | 烟台大学,经济管理学院,山东,烟台,264005 |
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| 基金项目： | 本文是烟台大学青年基金项目（基金编号：XSTJG04212）的阶段性成果. |
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| 摘 要： | 通过采用协整和误差修正模型的Granger因果关系检验的方法,分析了1952-2002年间进口贸易与经济增长之间的关系。研究表明我国进口与GDP之间存在着双向的Granger因果关系和协整关系;并运用EG两步法建立二者之间的误差修正模型,得出了进口对经济增长的短期和长期作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 进口 GDP 协整 因果关系检验 误差修正模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-148X(2005)23-0096-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 10 10 2004 12:00AM |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年10月10 |
An Analysis of Correlative Relationship Between Import and Economic Growth |
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| XU Shi-teng.An Analysis of Correlative Relationship Between Import and Economic Growth[J].Commercial Research,2005(23):96-98. |
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| Authors: | XU Shi-teng |
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| Institution: | School of Economics and Manangement, Yantai University, Yantai, Shandong 264005, China |
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| Abstract: | The paper applies Granger causality test and co - integration process to investigating the relationship between import and economic growth from 1952 to 2002 in china. The conclusion indicates that there is two- direction causality between import and GDP and the steady relationship. The Error Correction Model between them is built by EG two- step method with the correlative long-term effect and short-term effect on import. |
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| Keywords: | import GDP co-integration process cause-effect testing Granger causality test |
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