The determinacy of equilibrium in economies of overlapping generations |
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Authors: | S. Demichelis H. M. Polemarchakis |
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Affiliation: | (1) Dipartimento di Matematica, Universitá di Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy;(2) CORE, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium |
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Abstract: | We study the problem of uniqueness of equilibrium paths in the overlapping generations model. We show that, despite local calculation based on counting equations and unknowns, the equilibrium path may be unique. We do this by constucting an example of an economy of overlapping generations with just one equilibrium up to time shift, beside the steady states. Time is either discrete or continuous; in either case, it extend into the infinite future and, possibly, the infinite past. There is one, non-storable commodity at each date. The economy is stationary; intertemporal preferences are logarithmic; the endowments and discount factors of individuals need not depend continuously on time. With continuous time, equilibrium paths of prices are smooth; this, even for endowments and discount factors of individuals that do not depend continuously on time. With discrete time, as the number of periods in the life-span of individuals increases, equilibrium paths converge to the continuous time solutions. If time extends infinitely into the infinite past as well as into the infinite future, in continuous time, all non-stationary equilibrium paths of prices are time-shifts of a single path; in addition, there are two stationary solutions; in discrete time, there is a one dimensional family of non-stationary solutions, up to time-shift; however, the indeterminacy vanishes as the number of periods in the life span of individuals tends to infinity. If, alternatively, time has a finite starting point, in discrete time the degree of indeterminacy increases with the life-span of individuals, and, in continuous time, it is infinite; however, these are families of exponentially decreasing oscillations which, although they may exhibit pseudo-chaotic behaviour for a while, as time tends to infinity they all get damped, and asymptotic behaviour is that of the economy that originates in the infinite past. Stefano Lovo made interesting comments. |
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Keywords: | Life-span Continuous time Overlapping generations Determinacy |
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