中国省域应急产业创新绩效的时空演化研究

应急产业是列入“十四五”国家安全体系建设的保障性产业,是科技赋能应急管理的基础。运用DEA-Malmquist指数测度2011—2020年中国省域层面应急产业创新绩效的时空演化趋势。结果表明：在趋势变化上,近10年应急产业创新绩效总体呈下降趋势且波动较大,政策调整及重大社会事件很可能是提振创新绩效的核心诱因,技术效率变化常常滞后于技术进步变化;在空间态势上,呈现“东部较强,西部居中,中部靠后”空间格局,其中东部地区能够有效把握关键事件的“窗口期”提升创新绩效,西部地区技术效率增效明显并进入发展加速期,中部地区则表现欠佳。

Research on the Spatiotemporal Evolution of Innovation Performance of China's Provincial Emergency Industry

The emergency industry is an important industry enlisted in the national security system construction of the "fourteenth five-year plan", and is the foundation of science and technology enabled emergency management. DEA Malmquist index is used to measure the spatiotemporal evolution trend of innovation performance of China''s provincial emergency industry from 2011 to 2020. The results show that the innovation performance of the emergency industry in recent ten years shows a downward trend and fluctuates greatly. Policy adjustment and major social events are likely to be the core incentives to boost the innovation performance, and the change of technical efficiency often lags behind the change of technological progress.In terms of spatial situation, it presents a spatial pattern of "the east is stronger, the west is in the middle, and the central region is behind",and the eastern region can effectively grasp the "window period" of key events to improve innovation performance, the western region has significantly increased technical efficiency and entered the acceleration period of development, while the central region has not performed well.