| 基于GM(1,1)模型的建筑事故预测及应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 索丰平.基于GM(1,1)模型的建筑事故预测及应用研究[J].基建优化,2007,28(4):87-88. |
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| 作者姓名： | 索丰平 |
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| 作者单位： | 河北工程大学,邯郸,056038 |
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| 摘 要： | 首先介绍了预测模型的建立步骤,然后根据某施工企业近八年来的百万工时的事故次数建立了预测模型,利用模型进行了计算,并把模型计算值和实际值进行了比较,计算出了误差和相对误差,并利用该模型对未来五年的事故趋势进行了预测.
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| 关 键 词： | 预测模型 百万工时事故次数 未来预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-7717(2007)04-0087-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年3月24日 |
Prediction and Application Study of Construction Accidents Based On GM(1, 1) |
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| SUO Feng-ping.Prediction and Application Study of Construction Accidents Based On GM(1, 1)[J].Optimization of Capital Construction,2007,28(4):87-88. |
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| Authors: | SUO Feng-ping |
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| Abstract: | Building method of GM(1,1) is troduced firstly,according to million man-hour accident time of aconctruction enterprise prediction model is built,then model calculation value is compared with pratication value,difference is figured out.finally,accident development times of future five year is predicted. |
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| Keywords: | prediction model million man-hour accident times future prediction |
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