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Does financial integration affect real exchange rate volatility and cross-country equity market returns correlation?
Institution:1. Center of Excellence SAFE, House of Finance, Goethe University Frankfurt, Germany;2. Department of Economics, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Italy;1. Dip. Political Science, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy;2. Dip. Statistics, University of Rome “La Sapienza”, Rome, Italy
Abstract:Existing empirical studies show that financial integration affects the behavior of average excess returns, cross-country equity market returns (EMR) correlations and real exchange rate (RER) volatility. We employ a recently developed two-country model with recursive preferences, frictionless and complete markets and highly correlated long-run innovations to examine whether full financial integration (i.e. full risk-sharing) affects the US-Canada EMR correlation and the US RER volatility, consistently with existing empirical findings. First, full risk-sharing gives rise to a relatively high RER volatility. Second, it induces very strong positive cross-country EMR correlations. Both quantities are higher than those observed in the US-Canada asset pricing data, and increase as the risk-sharing incentive increases. In contrast, “international consumption quantities” are weakly sensitive to changes in the level of aversion to consumption and utility risk.
Keywords:Financial integration  Risk-sharing  Cross-country equity returns correlation  Real exchange rate volatility
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