| 服务贸易的就业效应分析——基于1982--2006年时序数据的计量检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵成柏.服务贸易的就业效应分析——基于1982--2006年时序数据的计量检验[J].改革与战略,2009,25(6):136-139. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵成柏 |
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| 作者单位： | 淮阴工学院经济管理学院,江苏,淮安,223001 |
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| 基金项目： | 江苏省教育厅基金项目，淮阴工学院科研基金项目阶段研究成果 |
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| 摘 要： | 近年来，随着我国经济和社会的快速发展，服务贸易的发展水平已经成为经济发展程度的主要标志。服务贸易在发展的同时，也带来了大量的就业机会。文章以1982--2006年的统计数据为基础，采用协整和误差修整模型揭示了我国服务贸易变化与就业增长之间的内在依存关系，表明服务进口对就业人数的增长具有促进作用。文章通过建立计量模型考察了在此期间我国服务贸易对就业增长的影响程度。
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| 关 键 词： | 服务贸易 就业 协整 |
The Effect of Employment on Service Trade in China-Based on the Statistical Data from 1982 to 2006 |
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| Zhao Chengbo.The Effect of Employment on Service Trade in China-Based on the Statistical Data from 1982 to 2006[J].Reformation & Strategy,2009,25(6):136-139. |
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| Authors: | Zhao Chengbo |
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| Institution: | Zhao Chengbo (Department of Economy Management, Huaiyin Institute of Technology, Huai＇an, Jiangsu 223001) |
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| Abstract: | In recent years, with the development of economy and society in China, the level of service trade has become the main signs of development. While service trade develops, it has also brought a lot of job opportunities. Based on the statistical data from 1982 to 2006, this paper analyzes the intrinsic interdependence relationship between service trade and empoly growth in the frame work of cointegration and Ecm model, it also establishes the related mathematical model and examines the degree the change of service trade to the employ growth in China. |
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| Keywords: | service trade employ VAR |
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