Complex forecast of scientific and technological development: Experience and lessons learned

This paper reviews the development conditions and the results of the “Complex Program for Scientific and Technological Progress” and its impact on the economy of the former Soviet Union. The impact of the implementation results on the development of the market economy in Russia is analyzed. Problems partly resolved under the complex program are outlined. It is shown that many outstanding scientific-technological and socioeconomic development problems are due to the characteristics of the applied economic models. Limitations of the current market model of the economy oriented towards the export of natural resources are highlighted. Possibilities and conditions required for a transition from the resource-oriented growth model to the innovation-based development paradigm are presented.