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我国产业投资与经济增长的静态和动态关系研究
引用本文:李卓然,朱天星,李兴法,王昭.我国产业投资与经济增长的静态和动态关系研究[J].工业技术经济,2011,30(4).
作者姓名:李卓然  朱天星  李兴法  王昭
作者单位:1. 大连银行博士后科研工作站,大连,116001
2. 大连银行博士后科研工作站,大连,116001;大连理工大学,大连,116023;沈阳工业大学,沈阳,110870
3. 大连银行博士后科研工作站,大连,116001;大连理工大学,大连,116023
摘    要:本文通过灰色关联分析和VECM深入研究了我国固定资产总投资、各个产业投资与GDP以及各产业产值的关系。结果发现我国固定资产投资对经济增长的影响很大,第三产业投资对第一产业和第三产业产值的关联程度很大;而第三产业产值对各业投资的依存程度较强。固定资产投资是经济增长的格兰杰原因,经济增长却不是固定资产投资的格兰杰原因。我国经济应该在增强自身内生发展能力下功夫。

关 键 词:灰色关联分析  经济增长  脉冲反映  方差分解  

An Research on Static and Dynamic Relationship between Industrial Inveastment and Economic Growth in China
Li Zhouran,Zhu Tianxing,Li Xingfa,Wang Zhao.An Research on Static and Dynamic Relationship between Industrial Inveastment and Economic Growth in China[J].Industrial Technology & Economy,2011,30(4).
Authors:Li Zhouran  Zhu Tianxing  Li Xingfa  Wang Zhao
Institution:Li Zhouran1 Zhu Tianxing1,2,3 Li Xingfa1,2 Wang Zhao1,2(1.Bank of Dalian Post-doctoral Research Station,Dalian 116001,China,2.Dalian Polytechnic University,Dalian 116023,3.Shenyang University of Technology,Shenyang 110870,China)
Abstract:This paper deeply examine the relationship between industry outputs and industry investment through grey correlation analysis and VECM model.Results indicate that fixed investments have dramatic influence on economic growth.And interdependence between the third industry investment and outputs of the first and third industry is very large,while the output of the third industry depend to a large extent on the third industry investment.Fixed investment is the Granger casualty of economic growth,but the other d...
Keywords:grey correlation analysis  economic growth  impulse response  variance decomposition  
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