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北京市城乡收入差距的预测和成因分析
引用本文:张红宇. 北京市城乡收入差距的预测和成因分析[J]. 科技和产业, 2012, 0(5): 131-136
作者姓名:张红宇
作者单位:中国政法大学 研究生院商学院产业经济研究所, 北京市 100088
摘    要:城乡居民收入差距不断扩大是我国许多省区面临的重要问题,北京市作为全国的政治文化中心,也面临着同样的难题,并且形势不容乐观。本文依据1990-2010年北京市城乡收入数据,运用SPSS回归分析法,对北京市未来几十年的城乡收入状况进行了预测,然后本文结合相关学者的研究,建立了多元线性回归模型,用1990-2010年相关数据,采用逐步回归法进行回归。并在回归结果基础上,给出了缩小城乡居民收入差距的几点建议。

关 键 词:城乡收入差距  回归分析  预测

The Income Gap Between the Urban and Rural Prediction and Cause Analysis
Abstract:Income gap between urban and rural residents continue to expand in China is facing by many provinces and regions, Beijing as the country's political and cultural center, also faces the same problem, and the situation is not optimistic. Based on 1990-2010 Beijing urban and rural income data, applying SPSS regression analysis method, the future of the decades of urban and rural income status of prediction, then this article unifies the related research of the established a multiple linear regression model, with 1990-2010 years of relevant data, using stepwise regression method regression. And in the regression result foundation, gives the narrowing of income gap between urban and rural residents suggestions.
Keywords:the income gap between urban and rural areas  regression analysis  forecast
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