| FDI与中国城市化关联机理及动态分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 程开明,段存章.FDI与中国城市化关联机理及动态分析[J].经济地理,2010,30(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 程开明 段存章 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江工商大学,统计与数学学院,中国浙江,杭州,310018
2. 安徽工业大学,数理学院,中国安徽,马鞍山,243002 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金项目(编号:09BTJ003);;教育部人文社科一般项目(编号:09YJA630144);;浙江省高等学校人文社科重点研究基地(浙江工商大学统计学);;浙江工商大学引进人才科研启动项目;;青年人才基金项目联合资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 改革开放以来我国外商直接投资(FDI)规模持续扩大,城市化水平不断提高。为探寻两者关系,在提出FDI与城市化关联机制的基础上,依据1983—2007年的时序数据,利用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验及脉冲响应函数等方法开展动态计量分析。结果显示,我国FDI和城市化之间存在长期均衡关系,FDI是城市化水平提高的格兰杰原因,对城市化产生较大的正向冲击效应,而城市化对FDI的作用强度不大。对两者关系的深入认识,有利于采取针对性措施,实现FDI与城市化的良性互动。
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| 关 键 词： | 外商直接投资（FDI） 城市化 关联机理 动态计量 |
CORRELATIVE MECHANISM AND DYNAMIC ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS BETWEEN FDI AND URBANIZATION IN CHINA |
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| CHENG Kai-ming,DUAN Cun-zhang.CORRELATIVE MECHANISM AND DYNAMIC ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS BETWEEN FDI AND URBANIZATION IN CHINA[J].Economic Geography,2010,30(1). |
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| Authors: | CHENG Kai-ming DUAN Cun-zhang |
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| Institution: | 1.School of Statistics and Mathematics;Zhejiang Gongshang University;Hangzhou 310018;Zhejiang;China;2.College Mathematics and Physics;Anhui University of Technology;Maanshan 243002;Anhui;China |
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| Abstract: | With the development of foreign direct investment(FDI) and urbanization,they interact each other.This study explores the relationship between FDI and urbanization.Basing on correlative mechanism,some dynamic econometric methods such as cointegration,Granger causality tests,and IRF are used to analyze data from 1983 to 2007.Results show that FDI is the Granger causality to urbanization in a long term.FDI makes great impact on urbanization,but urbanization makes little impact on FDI.In the end,some recommenda... |
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