| 石油库存储量对油价的作用机制的仿真及数量分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张永昶,戴正洪.石油库存储量对油价的作用机制的仿真及数量分析[J].石油化工技术经济,2002,18(1):52-61. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张永昶 戴正洪 |
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| 作者单位： | 华东师范大学，华东师范大学 上海，200062，上海，200062 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章使用系统动力学与回顾模型进行测试，得出石油储备与油价波动具有密切关系，石油储备的存在有助于抑制或缓解油价的过急变化，石油储备对国际油价具有实质和心理性的影响等结论。
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| 关 键 词： | 石油储备 库存 油价 作用机制 仿真 系统动力学 回归模型 |
Simulation and Quantity Analysis for Mechanism of Oil Stocked Reserves Acting on Oil Prices |
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| Zhang Yongchang,Dai Zhenghong.Simulation and Quantity Analysis for Mechanism of Oil Stocked Reserves Acting on Oil Prices[J].Techno-Economics in Petrochemicals,2002,18(1):52-61. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Yongchang Dai Zhenghong |
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| Abstract: | According to the tests with system dynamics and regression model,several conclusions are obtained that the petroleum reserve has close relation with oil price fluctuation,the existence of petroleum reserve is conducive to control or relax the rapid changes of oil price,and the petroleum reserve has substantive and psychogenic influences on the international oil price |
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| Keywords: | petroleum reserve storage oil price action simulation |
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