我国居民收入差距变动趋势研究

本文先对收入差距的构成要素进行分析,再以基尼系数为居民收入差距的主要表现指标,对其进行了科学测算,并以此为基础构建基于ARIMA的基尼系数预测模型,通过定量预测2012~2020年我国居民收入分配基尼系数,对收入差距的变化趋势做出了科学判断,并提出了针对性政策措施。

China citizen income difference change trend research

The paper firstly analysed the components of income gap,and then taking Gini coefficient as the key performance indicators of income gap,carried on the scientific measurement to it.On this premise,the paper constructed Gini coefficient forecast model based on the ARIMA,then through quantitative predictions to Gini coefficient of resident income allocation during year 2012~2020,it scientifically judged the change trend of income gap,put forward some pertinent policies and measures.