佛山市生产性服务业与制造业互动发展的实证分析

运用协整分析、误差修正模型、格兰杰因果检验和向量自回归模型实证分析了佛山制造业与生产性服务业之间的互动关系,结果表明:佛山生产性服务业与制造业之间存在长期相互作用关系,但现阶段两者还远未达到协调互动发展。因此,应以互动效应为导向,在做优做强制造业同时,优先发展生产性服务业,从而最终实现两者的良性互动。

An Empirical Analysis on the Interactive Development of Producer Services and Manufacturing Industry in Foshan

Using co-integration test, error correction model, granger causality test and VAR model, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the interactive development of producer service and manufacturing industry in Foshan, and the results show that: there exists long term interact relationship between the producer services and manufacturing industry, but the development of both are not harmonious in this phase. Therefore, should with interactive effect as the guidanc, it gives priority to the development of producer service when manufacturing do better and stronger, to finally realize both good interaction.