基于引力模型的中国东盟自由贸易区研究

与东盟建立自由贸易区是中国近来积极参加区域经济合作的一次重大尝试。本文通过运用引力模型,重点讨论了经济发展水平不平衡究竟以何种程度影响区内的贸易。研究结果表明,引力模型在本文的分析是适用的,提高四个不发达地区的经济发展水平和加快与这几个落后国家之间的基础交通设施建设是中国东盟自由贸易区建设的关键。中国应承担大国的责任,结合国内“西部大开发”的政策,积极参加自由贸易区的建设。

Research of China east union free trade zone basing on gravitation mode

To establish a FTA with ASEAN is an important attempt for China which actively takes part in the regional economic Cooperation recently.by using the Gravity model,this paper intensify in discussing the difference of reconomic development level,to which extent,affect the trade flows in this region.The result of this research shows that the Gravity model is appropriate for this paper's analysis,and the elevation of the economic development level of the four less developed countries in this region,coupled with the acceleration of the infrastructure construction with these countries,are the key elements of the CAFTA construction.China must take the responsibility of a influential country,with the combination of the domestic“West China Development Strategy”,actively participate in the construction of CAFTA.