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长三角物流发展和经济增长关系实证分析
引用本文:王欢欢,黄汉江.长三角物流发展和经济增长关系实证分析[J].物流科技,2014(7):61-64.
作者姓名:王欢欢  黄汉江
作者单位:[1]上海理工大学,上海200093 [2]上海立信会计学院,上海200235
摘    要:文章采用2005~2012年长三角经济圈20个城市物流业发展与区域经济增长的面板数据进行实证分析,通过对数据进行平稳性检验和协整检验,证实了物流业发展和经济增长之间存在着长期协整关系。回归分析中Hausman检验拒绝存在随机效应的原假设,采用固定效应模型分析面板数据,发现物流业发展的三个指标,物流产业规模、物流供给规模和物流需求规模均和区域经济增长之间存在正相关关系,不同城市组别的回归分析发现,不同的区域经济发展策略对物流发展和经济增长之间的关系有着不同的影响。

关 键 词:物流发展  经济增长  面板协整

The Practical Analysis of the Relationship Between Logistics Development and Economic Growth in the Yangtse River Delta Economic Area
WANG Huan-huan,HUANG Han-jiang.The Practical Analysis of the Relationship Between Logistics Development and Economic Growth in the Yangtse River Delta Economic Area[J].Logistics Management,2014(7):61-64.
Authors:WANG Huan-huan  HUANG Han-jiang
Institution:1. University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, Chino; 2. Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce, Shanghai 200235, China)
Abstract:The study bases on 2005-2012 panel data of logistics development and economic growth in the Yangtze fiver delta economic area. Through unit root test and panel cointegration test, there exists a confirmed long-term cointegraton relationship between logistics development and regional economic growth. Hausman test rejects the null hypothesis, fixed effect model is more ef- ficient than random effect model. The regression conclusions show the scale of logistics industry, logistics supply and logistics demand all have plus correlation ships with regional economic growth. And different regional development policies have different effeels on the relationship between logistics development and economic growth.
Keywords:logistics development  economic growth  panel eointegration
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