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我国彩票销售收人的实证分析——基于省际面板数据
引用本文:张增帆.我国彩票销售收人的实证分析——基于省际面板数据[J].产经评论,2013(3):86-92.
作者姓名:张增帆
作者单位:中国人民大学经济学院
基金项目:[基金项目]国家自然基金重点项目“中国政府部门的结构与运作研究”(项目号:70833002)
摘    要:本文利用2002-2010年我国31个省市区面板数据,运用固定效应模型分析了我国各省彩票销售收入的影响因素,发现各省市区经济发展水平、生活水平、百万大奖的个数、彩票投注终端机的密度是影响彩票销售收入的主要因素。结论是:以济困、公益等为宗旨和理念的彩票业已经陷入一个悖论;现阶段开展赛马博彩是一个可行选择。

关 键 词:彩票  销售收入  影响因素  实证分析

The Influence Factors of Lottery Sales Revenue in China
Institution:ZHANG Zeng - fan
Abstract:In this paper, we study the influence factors of lottery sales revenue in China by using panel data in 31 provinces from 2002 to 2010. It is estimated with a fixed effect panel data model, and the per capital lottery sales revenue is employed as the dependent variable. The main finding is that the level of economic development, living standards, the quantity of lottery sales terminals, million yuan prize winners are the main factors of lottery sales revenue. Conclusions are as follows, lottery, which aims at poverty relief and public welfare, has been caught in a paradox. And horse race betting is a viable option at current stage.
Keywords:lottery  sales revenue  influence factors  empirical analysis
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