甘肃省经济发展与城乡统筹的互动关系分析

改革开放以来,甘肃省的城乡统筹状况总体上随着经济发展而趋于恶化,城乡差距在进一步扩大.本文通过Granger因果关系检验表明,甘肃省的经济发展与城乡统筹之间存在着双向的、互为因果关系.进一步脉冲分析表明,一方面,经济发展并不会自动导致城乡差距的缩小,而且在长期还会进一步加大城乡差距;另一方面,虽然经济发展受城乡统筹水平冲击的效应为正,但是,在短期内城乡统筹水平对经济发展的影响几乎不存在冲击效应.

Analyses of Interactive Relationship between Economic Development and Urban-Rural Interactions in Gansu Province

The coordinated urban-rural development faces great challenges in Gansu Province since the reform and opening up to the outside world.An empirical analysis of Granger-causality test shows a cause-effect relationship between the provincial economic development and overall planning.Further analysis of impulse response function shows that economic growth does not automatically lead to harmonious relations between urban and rural areas,but broadens the urban-rural gaps in long term in the one hand.On the other ...