中国与中亚国家农产品贸易互补性的实证分析

首先运用比较优势指数对中国农产品出口中亚国家的情况进行分析,得出中国农产品总体在中亚国家不具有比较优势,但出口中亚国家的一些主要农产品具有一定的比较优势。然后,运用贸易互补性指数和贸易结合度模型,对中国农产品出口中亚国家与中亚国家进口的双边农产品贸易进行分析,得出中国与中亚国家总体农产品贸易互补性较低,但在主要农产品贸易中互补性较强且贸易结合度紧密的结论。

Empirical Analysis on Trade Complementarity of Agricultural Product between China and Central Asian Countries

This paper analyzes the situation of China′s agricultural products export to central Asian countries by the comparable advantage index,and finds that China′s total agricultural products don′t have comparable advantage,but main agricultural products have comparable advantage to some extent.Then,it calculates the trade complementarity index and the trade connection index of bilateral agricultural product trade including China′s export and central Asian countries′ import.The result shows as follows：the trade complementarity of total agricultural products between China and central Asian countries is low,but the trade connection between them is very high;the trade complementarity of main trade products and the trade connection between them are very high.